Ray Kurzweil solar energy
Solar power, driven by exponentially-increasing nanotechnology, will fulfill the planet's significance of power in less than 20 years.
Just Why Is It Groundbreaking?
Currently, solar energy provides significantly less than 1% worldwide's energy needs, that has led numerous to disregard its future significance. In which they're incorrect is they are not able to comprehend the exponential nature of technology, states eminent creator and futurist Ray Kurzweil. Exactly like computer system processing speed—which doubles every 1 . 5 years relative to Moore's law—the nanotechnology that pushes innovations in solar energy progresses exponentially, he says.
During his most recent huge Think interview, Kurweil explained:
"solar energy panels are coming down considerably in expense per watt. And thus of the, the amount of solar energy is growing, not linearly, but exponentially. It’s doubling every 2 years and it has already been for 20 years. And once more, it’s a really smooth curve. There’s these arguments, subsidies and governmental battles and businesses going broke, they’re raising vast amounts of bucks, but behind all that chaos is this really smooth development."
So how far is solar power from meeting 100per cent worldwide's power needs? Eight doublings, states Kurzweil, that may simply take only 16 many years. And provide is certainly not a problem both, he adds: "soon after we twice eight even more times and we’re conference the world’s power needs through solar power, we’ll use 1 part in 10, 000 regarding the sunlight that falls regarding the planet. And then we could put efficient solar power facilities on a few percent regarding the unused deserts around the globe and satisfy all of our power needs."
Lowering this bold of a forecast to simple mathematics sounds ridiculous, but it has supported Kurzweil previously. By using this formula, he accurately predicted late the Soviet Union, chessmaster Garry Kasparov's defeat to a robot, together with expansion of the Internet—as really as over 100 other forecasts. (He also says that humans will merge with devices in 2045!)
Why Should You Care?
Obviously, the implications of low priced solar energy could be certainly staggering, revolutionizing virtually every facet of life and geopolitics. Potentially dangerous atomic energy would become obsolete; dirty power sources like coal and oil could be something of the past; additionally the globe would not any longer need to kowtow to corrupt governments that simply happen to be resource-rich.
Countless various other international issues—like impending water and food crises—would additionally no more be issues if an inexpensive, renewable power source existed. "We’re awash with liquid, but most of it's salinated or dirty, " claims Kurzweil. We have the technology to desalinate and clean water, but it is too costly. Cheap solar would transform that. When we had cheap energy, boffins may possibly also develop hydroponic fruits & vegetables, supplying the developing demand for meals and "recycling all the vitamins and products generally thereisn' ecological effect anyway." They might also "grow animal meat without pets by cloning muscle mass, " eliminating the need for disastrous factory agriculture, he claims.